Vitarka Insights

Tesla Inc. – Headed Higher, Will Defy Skeptics

As per its news release of April 03, 2018, Tesla Inc. (“Tesla”, “TSLA” or the “Company”) produced 34,494 vehicles, which was a 40% increase from Q4-17 production of 24,565 cars. More importantly, all eyes and ears were on the production run rate for Model 3. On February 7, 2018, Elon …

The Indian Conundrum – A Growing Economy & Stagnant Bank Credit

The Reserve Bank of India’s (“RBI”) latest release of March 28, 2018, on sectoral deployment of bank credit for the first 11 months of fiscal year 2018, i.e. for April 2017 to February 2018, is at odds with tales of accelerating GDP and a revival in growth emanating from India. …

The Dot Plot Giveth — The Fed Presses On

Consistent with our view that the U.S. economy is firing on all cylinders and that the FOMC has its task cut out, the Federal Open Markets Committee (“FOMC”) release of March 21, 2018, was more hawkish than capital markets participants have been expecting. Although Jerome H. Powell (“Powell”), the new …

Broadcom Limited — Undone by Its Conduct

In our earlier research, we have repeatedly said that the Company showed up at Qualcomm’s door with nothing but chutzpah ( Broadcom Limited – Staring at Defeat ) and that culturally the two companies were unlikely to be compatible given different histories and approach to business development, product design and …

Qualcomm Inc. – Throws Down the Gauntlet

February 26, 2018, was an eventful day in the saga surrounding Qualcomm Inc. (“QCOM”, “Qualcomm” or the “Company”), Broadcom Limited (“Broadcom” or “AVGO”), and the much-ballyhooed 5G wireless technology. Prior to market open, investors were excited by the prospects of the company engaging constructively with AVGO, especially given QCOM’s filing …

General Electric – Marching to a Single Digit Stock Price – Part 3

Readers that have followed our published view on GE previously ( General Electric (GE US )- 25% Downside and Perhaps a Single Digit Stock Price in Its Future?) will recall that we were and still are sceptical of capital’s prospects for 2018 and beyond. Therefore, this recent update from …

Zuma Sacked, PNB Hacked and Bank of Baroda South Africa Axed

The South African Reserve Bank (“SARB”) issued a media advisory on February 12, 2018, informing South African citizens that the Bank of Baroda South Africa (“BoBSA” or “bank”) was shuttering its operations. The bank issued a curt statement outlining its intent to rationalise international operations, thereby justifying the decision to …

General Electric – A Single Digit Stock Price – Part 2

In Part 1 we highlighted multiple challenges facing GE in 2018 and 2019. Adoption of new accounting standards is another one of those wrinkles that will throw investors off-balance. ANTYA maintains its view that given shrinking industrial operations, GE Capital’s inability to pay dividends to the company for the foreseeable …

The Reserve Bank of India- Between a Rock and a Hard Place, Forthcoming?

Managing Indian Inflation a Herculean Task The Reserve Bank of India (“RBI”) issued its Sixth Bi-Monthly Monetary Policy Statement on February 07, 2018 (“MPS”). The Monetary Policy Committee (“MPC”) decided to “keep the policy repo rate under the liquidity adjustment facility (“LAF”) unchanged at 6.0%”. RBI believes that its decision …

2018 India – Tread With Caution

India 2018 – Caution is the Byword For global investors, 2017 was expected to be a challenging year with a protectionist President Trump in office combined with a more hawkish Federal Reserve. Market participants and the business media left no stone unturned in debating and highlighting the imminent demise of …

The Dot Plot Giveth

Download this Report The newest word to join the lexicon of a populace overburdened with information is the “Dot Plot”. For the uninitiated, the dot plot is a graphical representation of the year end interest rate forecast of the 16 voting members of The Federal Open Market Committee (“FOMC”) of …

Home Capital Group: Immediate Liquidity Crisis Averted – What Next?

Home Capital Group (HCG.TO or the “Company”) has done three things right so far: Cut the dividend as anticipated. Announced that $325 million of bonds due May 24, 2017 will be repaid. That was also expected, given its line of credit from HOOP. Rejigged the board via the addition of …

Home Capital Group – Fallen Angel or Value Trap?

It is fascinating to see the very public and humiliating unravelling of Home Capital Group (“HCG”), at a time when warnings surrounding a historically high Consumer-Debt/GDP ratio and stratospheric real estate prices across much of Canada abound. It seems almost surreal, that what originated as a problem related to falsified …

Modi’s Gamble:Brand India to Shell-Shocked India

Download this Report On November 08, 2016, at 8:00 PM in India, the Prime Minister of India Narendra Modi (“PM” or “PM Modi”), announced demonetisation of approximately 86% of India’s currency.  My initial reaction, upon becoming aware of it in the wee hours of the morning of November 09, 2016, …

An Audacious President-Elect Upends Yields – Eight Ideas For 2017

Download this Report Within 5 days of being elected, Donald Trump has managed to do what the entire cohort of central bankers across the world couldn’t. Trump’s ascendance to the oval office, has steepened the U.S. yield curve forcing a global rise in bond yields, strengthened the U.S. dollar, and …
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